SMCI Weekly Technical Analysis
Super Micro Computer Inc
Builds high-performance servers and storage used in AI and cloud computing.
SMCI Technical Analysis Summary
SMCI shows a severe deterioration in its technical posture on the weekly timeframe, having erased the majority of its parabolic gains from 2023-2024. The price is currently trading below the key 200-week SMA (34.69) for the first time in the visible uptrend, suggesting that the long-term bull trend is broken. With the MACD showing negative momentum and RSI below 50, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the next structural support near the lower Bollinger Band at approximately 20.42.
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SMCI Weekly Chart
Sentiment
Short-term Sentiment (days to weeks): Bearish
Price is trading well below the 20-week SMA and has recently broken below the critical 200-week SMA. RSI is in bearish territory (41.29) with room to fall, and the MACD line is below the signal line and zero.
Long-term Sentiment (weeks to months): Bearish
The stock has completed a massive parabolic retracement and is now trading below the long-term 200-week SMA (34.69), signaling a potential structural trend change from bullish to bearish.
Report Metadata
- Timeframe: weekly
- Generated at: 2026-02-15T00:17:47.651Z
- Model: gemini-3-pro-preview
Support Price Levels
| Level | Range | Strength | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| $20.21 | $20.00 - $20.42 | Strong | Confluence of the Lower Bollinger Band and a major consolidation/breakout zone from mid-2023. |
| $11.00 | $10.00 - $12.00 | Strong | Historical multi-year base level prior to the parabolic advance. |
Resistance Price Levels
| Level | Range | Strength | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| $36.04 | $34.69 - $37.39 | Strong | Zone containing the 200-week SMA and the 20-week SMA (Bollinger Band basis). |
| $41.17 | $40.33 - $42.00 | Weak | 50-week SMA level acting as dynamic resistance. |
| $57.18 | $54.35 - $60.00 | Strong | Upper Bollinger Band and previous support-turned-resistance consolidation area. |
Potential Chart Patterns in Formation
| Strength | Pattern | Signal | Target | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | Blow-off Top / Deep Retracement | Bearish | $20.42 | After a parabolic rise to highs around 120, the price has crashed nearly 75%, breaking multiple moving averages including the 200 SMA. |
| Strong | Death Cross (Price vs SMA) | Bearish | N/A | Weekly price has closed decisively below both the 50-week and 200-week SMAs, indicating long-term momentum failure. |
Frequently Asked Questions about SMCI
What is the current sentiment for SMCI?
The short-term sentiment for SMCI is currently Bearish because Price is trading well below the 20-week SMA and has recently broken below the critical 200-week SMA. RSI is in bearish territory (41.29) with room to fall, and the MACD line is below the signal line and zero.. The long-term trend is classified as Bearish.
What are the key support levels for SMCI?
StockDips.AI has identified key support levels for SMCI at $20.21 and $11.00. These levels may represent potential accumulation zones where buying interest could emerge.
Is SMCI in a significant dip or a Value Dip right now?
SMCI has a Value Score of 45/100. It is not currently flagged as a significant dip in the Top Dips list. It is not listed as a Value Dip because the long-term sentiment or value-score threshold does not qualify.
View the full interactive analysis on StockDips.AI.