20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Monthly Technical Analysis
20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF - Invests in U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities of 20 years or more, often used for stability.
TLT Technical Analysis Summary
TLT remains embedded in a multi-year secular bear regime, trading well below downward-sloping 50- and 200-month moving averages with monthly RSI depressed below 40. However, price is currently testing and attempting to hold major secular support between 76.00 and 80.00, which corresponds to its multi-decade base from 2003–2007. Until price can stage a decisive monthly close above the 20-month and 50-month SMAs near 86.60–92.40, any upside is considered a counter-trend consolidation rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
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TLT Monthly Chart
Sentiment
Short-term Sentiment (days to weeks): Neutral
Price is attempting a monthly bounce off the lower Bollinger Band and secular multi-year lows, but remains constrained below the downward-sloping 20-month SMA at 86.62.
Long-term Sentiment (weeks to months): Bearish
The secular downtrend remains intact with price trading far below the descending 50-month (92.39) and 200-month (116.49) SMAs, accompanied by monthly RSI lingering below 40.
Report Metadata
- Timeframe: monthly
- Generated at: Nov 1, 2026
- Model: gemini-3.8-flash
Support Price Levels
| Level | Range | Strength | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| $78.00 | $76.00 - $80.00 | Strong | Major multi-decade support zone aligning with the late 2023 and recent 2024 lows, as well as the 2003–2007 secular base. |
| $71.50 | $70.00 - $73.00 | Weak | Lower psychological and projected support zone if the multi-decade 76–80 shelf fails. |
Resistance Price Levels
| Level | Range | Strength | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| $89.95 | $86.60 - $93.30 | Strong | Confluence of the 20-month SMA (86.62), 50-month SMA (92.39), and upper Bollinger Band boundary. |
| $114.50 | $112.00 - $117.00 | Strong | Major secular pivot level aligned with the 200-month SMA (116.49) and the 2022 breakdown point. |
Potential Chart Patterns in Formation
| Strength | Pattern | Signal | Target | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | Secular Downtrend | Bearish | N/A | Multi-year series of lower highs and lower lows extending from the 2020 peak near 179 down toward the 76 level, with price tracking beneath falling monthly averages. |
| Moderate | Multi-Year Double Bottom Attempt | Bullish | $93.00 | Potential base retest forming around the late 2023 low near 76.00–80.00, attempting to carve out a secular foundation at historical 2003–2007 price levels. |
Frequently Asked Questions about TLT
What is the current sentiment for TLT?
The short-term sentiment for TLT is currently Neutral because Price is attempting a monthly bounce off the lower Bollinger Band and secular multi-year lows, but remains constrained below the downward-sloping 20-month SMA at 86.62. The long-term trend is classified as Bearish.
What are the key support levels for TLT?
StockDips.AI has identified key support levels for TLT at $78.00 and $71.50. These levels may represent potential accumulation zones where buying interest could emerge.
Is TLT in a significant dip or a Value Dip right now?
TLT has a Value Score of 46/100. It is not currently flagged as a significant dip in the Top Dips list. It is not listed as a Value Dip because the long-term sentiment or value-score threshold does not qualify.
View the full interactive analysis on StockDips.AI.